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12 Dec 2022

NZD/USD: Volatility beckons in a usually positive month for the Kiwi – ANZ

The Kiwi ended the week back above 0.64, and while it didn’t reclaim Monday’s highs, it’s still the best-performing G10 currency month to date. Economists at ANZ Bank expect volatility this week.

NZD seasonality is usually positive in December

“NZD seasonality is usually positive in December, but while it has that and higher interest rates in its corner, there are no guarantees that it will finish this week un-bruised, with several central bank meetings due.”

“Volatility beckons ahead of the Fed meeting, which is expected to be hawkish, with a 50 bps hike and a much higher terminal rate (2023) ‘dot plot’. Our chief concern is what this might do to the USD, which has come under pressure as the trendy ‘pivot’ narrative has taken hold, despite clear signs of sticky US inflation.”

“NZ factors will also play a role, with the HYEFU and GDP due this week, but they’re likely to play second fiddle to volatility and the global vibe (again!).”

 

Dec 12, 2022

Fossil fuel and renewable energy prices to remain high for a long time – Natixis

Many had hoped that the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energies would only gradually drive up energy prices. In the view of strategists at
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Dec 12, 2022

EUR/USD to struggle to hold any gains over 1.06 this week – ING

EUR/USD continues to fluctuate above 1.0500. In the opinion of economists at ING, the pair will struggle to hold any gains over 1.06 this week. Slight
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