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28 Nov 2022

GBP/USD: Large current account deficit to weigh on Sterling – ING

GBP/USD fluctuates below 1.2100. Economists at ING expect Sterling to remain under pressure amid prospects of recession.

GBP/USD gains will not last

“Three-month GBP/USD traded volatility prices are now under 12% having been near 19% in late September. Clearly, Sterling trading conditions have settled down even as recession expectations solidify.”

“Our view is that these GBP/USD gains will not last and we would not be surprised to see fresh selling interest emerging near the 200-Day Moving Average at 1.2177 or at best the 50% retracement of the 2021-22 drop – at 1.2300.”

“The current inversion in yield curves around the world does, for a change, look to be a likely harbinger of recession. And with its large current account deficit, Sterling should be expected to remain vulnerable.”

Nov 28, 2022

UK to suffer negative GDP growth for four consecutive quarters – Danske Bank

The UK economy has entered a recession. Economists at Danske Bank expect negative GDP growth for four consecutive quarters and growth not to return un

EUR/USD climbs to 2-week highs past-1.0450

The weak note in the greenback allows EUR/USD to advance further north of the 1.0400 mark and clinch fresh 2-week peaks on Monday. EUR/USD firmer on w