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22 Nov 2022

USD/JPY traces sluggish Treasury yields below 142.00, snaps four-day uptrend

  • USD/JPY prints the first daily loss in five, holds lower ground near intraday bottom of late.
  • US Treasury yields struggle to justify hawkish bias from the Fed.
  • China Covid woes underpin the US Dollar’s haven demand.

USD/JPY renews its intraday low around 141.80 as it defies the four-day uptrend bullish trend during early Tuesday. In doing so, the Yen pair traces sluggish US Treasury yields amid a lack of major data/events, as well as the market’s cautious mood ahead of this week’s key catalysts scheduled for publishing on Wednesday.

That said, the US 10-year Treasury yields print the first daily loss in four, down one basis point near 3.81% by the press time, as the latest comments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials fail to bolster the previously hawkish bias.

With this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) drops to 107.55, down 0.25% intraday while snapping a three-day uptrend.

It’s worth noting that Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said in a CNBC interview, “I think we can slow down from 75 at the December meeting.” Previously, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic also turned down the 75 bps move and challenged the DXY bulls.

Elsewhere, seven-month high daily coronavirus cases from China renewed supply-crunch fears and keeps the US Dollar buyers hopeful ahead of tomorrow’s preliminary readings of the monthly activity data and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures print mild gains despite the downbeat closing of Wall Street. Further, Japan’s Nikkei 225 prints 0.80% intraday upside near 28,160 by the press time.

Moving on, a lack of major data/events could allow the USD/JPY buyers to take a breather ahead of Wednesday’s important catalysts. However, the monetary policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) joins the coronavirus woes to favor the bullish bias.

Technical analysis

Unless staying beyond the 100-DMA level surrounding 141.00, the USD/JPY bulls remain hopeful.

 

Nov 22, 2022

ECB’s Centeno: There are many conditions for the rates increase to be less than 75 bps

European Central Bank board member and Bank of Portugal Governor Mario Centeno, while speaking at a conference in Lisbon on Monday, said that “I don't
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Nov 22, 2022

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Slides towards 1.3400 as 21-DMA, previous support line challenge buyers

USD/CAD holds lower ground near the intraday bottom surrounding 1.3430 during early Tuesday, snapping a two-day uptrend at the latest. In doing so, th
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